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All Global Elections Portugal Election Japan Election Thailand Election China Gaza Iran Ukraine Venezuela Israel Middle East Ukraine Map India-Pakistan Canada South Korea Yemen Bolivia Election

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

February 2

<1%

February 3

1%

February 2

<1%

February 3

1%

$158m Vol.

Monthly

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? card icon

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

100%

chance

$10m Vol.

Monthly

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 2026

<1%

February 1

<1%

January 2026

<1%

February 1

<1%

$4m Vol.

Monthly

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

99%

André Ventura (CH)

1%

António José Seguro (IND)

99%

André Ventura (CH)

1%

$128m Vol.

Next leader out of power before 2027? card icon

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Schoof - Netherlands PM

86%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

4%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

86%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

4%

$5m Vol.

Next Country US Strikes card icon

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia

85%

Syria

6%

Somalia

85%

Syria

6%

$850k Vol.

Monthly

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

4%

chance

$2m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

12%

chance

$13m Vol.

Thailand Legislative Election Winner card icon

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

People’s Party (PPLE)

67%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

31%

People’s Party (PPLE)

67%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

31%

$4m Vol.

US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

February 15

12%

February 28

24%

February 15

12%

February 28

24%

$10m Vol.

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? card icon

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

92%

chance

$352k Vol.

Next French Presidential Election card icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella

29%

Édouard Philippe

15%

Jordan Bardella

29%

Édouard Philippe

15%

$4m Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election card icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

52%

Flávio Bolsonaro

26%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

52%

Flávio Bolsonaro

26%

$15m Vol.

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election? card icon

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

Sanae Takaichi

98%

Yoshihiko Noda

<1%

Sanae Takaichi

98%

Yoshihiko Noda

<1%

$1m Vol.

Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

February 1

<1%

February 2

10%

February 1

<1%

February 2

10%

$288k Vol.

Daily

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

46%

chance

$8m Vol.

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...? card icon

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?

February 1

<1%

February 2

<1%

February 1

<1%

February 2

<1%

$238k Vol.

Daily

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

February 3

23%

February 4

61%

February 3

23%

February 4

61%

$322k Vol.

Daily

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

10%

chance

$4m Vol.

Monthly

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? card icon

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)

70%

New People (NL)

22%

United Russia (ER)

70%

New People (NL)

22%

$1m Vol.

The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Related World Events topics

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Popular World Events markets

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Turnout in 2026 Costa Rica Presidential Election First Round Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?Next Prime Minister of Hungary Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Next Prime Minister of Vietnam US next strikes Iran on...?

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Will the RSF capture Kadugli by March 31?Will the RSF capture Dilling by March 31?Will the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31?U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Bank of Canada decision in April?Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?Bank of Brazil Decision in April?Number of TSA Passengers February 3?Number of TSA Passengers February 8?Number of TSA Passengers February 7?

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