Gaza Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

World Events

World Events

Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

February 1

<1%

February 2

1%

February 1

<1%

February 2

1%

$340k Vol.

Daily
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

February 3

12%

February 4

42%

February 3

12%

February 4

42%

$383k Vol.

Daily
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

32%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

19%

chance

$395k Vol.

Monthly
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...? card icon

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

March 31, 2026

31%

June 30

53%

March 31, 2026

31%

June 30

53%

$2m Vol.

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31? card icon

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Russia

23%

India

15%

Russia

23%

India

15%

$649k Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

41%

chance

$336k Vol.

Monthly
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? card icon

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

March 31

10%

June 30

39%

March 31

10%

June 30

39%

$4m Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? card icon

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

March 31, 2026

24%

February 28, 2026

12%

March 31, 2026

24%

February 28, 2026

12%

$1m Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? card icon

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland

40%

Azerbaijan

31%

Somaliland

40%

Azerbaijan

31%

$154k Vol.

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...? card icon

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

June 30

31%

December 31

43%

June 30

31%

December 31

43%

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