Next French Presidential Election

Name: Next French Presidential Election
Start: 2025-11-13T23:10:18.574088Z
End: 2027-04-30T00:00:00Z

$180,220 Vol.

Apr 30, 2027

Jordan Bardella 34%

Édouard Philippe 21%

Marine Le Pen 10%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Jordan Bardella
$6,050 Vol.
34%
0123456789
%

Édouard Philippe
$3,989 Vol.
21%
0123456789
%

Marine Le Pen
$6,277 Vol.
10%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$10,940 Vol.
10%

Gabriel Attal
$3,402 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%

Bruno Retailleau
$3,349 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%

David Lisnard
$4,286 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

Raphaël Glucksmann
$4,127 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Éric Zemmour
$3,418 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Dominique de Villepin
$4,668 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Bernard Cazeneuve
$4,403 Vol.
2%

François Ruffin
$4,557 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Laurent Wauquiez
$3,056 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Marine Tondelier
$3,258 Vol.
1%

François Hollande
$4,436 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Gérald Darmanin
$3,067 Vol.
1%

Olivier Faure
$7,032 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

François Bayrou
$4,334 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Xavier Bertrand
$10,193 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Michel Barnier
$3,443 Vol.
<1%

Fabien Roussel
$4,307 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

François Asselineau
$8,326 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$14,157 Vol.
<1%

Élisabeth Borne
$3,883 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Jean Castex
$3,292 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Carole Delga
$6,919 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Manuel Bompard
$3,045 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Ségolène Royal
$16,388 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Clémentine Autain
$11,963 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
$3,295 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Mathilde Panot
$2,862 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Valérie Pécresse
$3,498 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Volume

$180,220

End Date

Apr 30, 2027

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$180,220 Vol.

Apr 30, 2027

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 34%

Édouard Philippe 21%

Marine Le Pen 10%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Jordan Bardella

$6,050 Vol.

34%

Édouard Philippe

$3,989 Vol.

21%

Marine Le Pen

$6,277 Vol.

10%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$10,940 Vol.

10%

Gabriel Attal

$3,402 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$3,349 Vol.

David Lisnard

$4,286 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,127 Vol.

Éric Zemmour

$3,418 Vol.

Dominique de Villepin

$4,668 Vol.

Bernard Cazeneuve

$4,403 Vol.

François Ruffin

$4,557 Vol.

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,056 Vol.

Marine Tondelier

$3,258 Vol.

François Hollande

$4,436 Vol.

Gérald Darmanin

$3,067 Vol.

Olivier Faure

$7,032 Vol.

François Bayrou

$4,334 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$10,193 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$3,443 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$4,307 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$8,326 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$14,157 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$3,883 Vol.

<1%

Jean Castex

$3,292 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$6,919 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$3,045 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$16,388 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$11,963 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,295 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$2,862 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$3,498 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$180,220

End Date

Apr 30, 2027

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

French election called by June 30, 2026?

36%

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

54%

Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

61%

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella$6,050 Vol.34%0123456789%buy Yes35¢buy No67¢

Édouard Philippe$3,989 Vol.21%0123456789%buy Yes22¢buy No81¢

Marine Le Pen$6,277 Vol.10%buy Yes10¢buy No91¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon$10,940 Vol.10%buy Yes10¢buy No91¢

Gabriel Attal$3,402 Vol.7%0123456789%buy Yes7¢buy No94¢

Bruno Retailleau$3,349 Vol.6%0123456789%buy Yes7¢buy No96¢

David Lisnard$4,286 Vol.4%0123456789%buy Yes5.2¢buy No96.5¢

Raphaël Glucksmann$4,127 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes4.0¢buy No97.4¢

Éric Zemmour$3,418 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes4.3¢buy No97.9¢

Dominique de Villepin$4,668 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes3.5¢buy No97.3¢

Bernard Cazeneuve$4,403 Vol.2%buy Yes3.5¢buy No99.4¢

François Ruffin$4,557 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes2.6¢buy No99.6¢

Laurent Wauquiez$3,056 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.2¢buy No99.0¢

Marine Tondelier$3,258 Vol.1%buy Yes1.3¢buy No99.3¢

François Hollande$4,436 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.1¢buy No99.1¢

Gérald Darmanin$3,067 Vol.1%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.2¢

Olivier Faure$7,032 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.8¢buy No99.3¢

François Bayrou$4,334 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.6¢

Xavier Bertrand$10,193 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.8¢

Michel Barnier$3,443 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.8¢

Fabien Roussel$4,307 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

François Asselineau$8,326 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$14,157 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Élisabeth Borne$3,883 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Jean Castex$3,292 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Carole Delga$6,919 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Manuel Bompard$3,045 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Ségolène Royal$16,388 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Clémentine Autain$11,963 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Yaël Braun-Pivet$3,295 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Mathilde Panot$2,862 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Valérie Pécresse$3,498 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Market Context