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Venezuela polymarkets
Venezuela
Maduro out by...?
$42m Vol.
$2m today
$736k Liq.
1,894
Ends in about 1 year
47%
December 31, 2026
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
$50m Vol.
$202k Liq.
5,420
Ends in 3 months
45%
March 31, 2026
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
$1m Vol.
$715k today
$325k Liq.
40
100%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
$882k Vol.
$460k today
$29.4k Liq.
25
99%
Next US x Venezuela military engagement on...?
$6m Vol.
$122k today
$44.4k Liq.
2
97%
No Engagement in 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$3m Vol.
$82.7k today
$110k Liq.
97
14%
US forces in Venezuela by...?
$22.4k Liq.
50
19%
March 31
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by...?
$586k Vol.
$7.7k Liq.
70%
January 31
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
$150k Vol.
$5.3k Liq.
29
Ends in 12 months
3%
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?
$120k Vol.
$9.4k Liq.
# of announced new drug boat strikes in 2025?
$81.3k Vol.
$6.9k Liq.
93%
1
# of announced new drug boat strikes by January 31?
$89.3k Vol.
$24.3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
31%
5–6
U.S. forces seize Venezuela-linked oil ship on...?
$218k Vol.
$9.3k Liq.
December 31
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
$799k Vol.
$139k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
June 30, 2026
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
$354k Vol.
$33.6k Liq.
<1%
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?
$87.2k Vol.
$5.8k Liq.
5
Ends in about 7 hours
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
$9.4k Vol.
$1.3k Liq.
7%
Maduro receives asylum by December 31?
$20.7k Vol.
$6.1k Liq.
U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?
$106k Vol.
$16.6k Liq.
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?
$32.2k Vol.
$3.1k Liq.
1%
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