Middle East Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

World Events

World Events

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

February 3

1%

February 4

1%

February 3

1%

February 4

1%

$162m Vol.

Monthly
US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

February 1

<1%

February 2

<1%

February 1

<1%

February 2

<1%

$5m Vol.

Monthly
Next Country US Strikes card icon

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia

90%

Iran

4%

Somalia

90%

Iran

4%

$962k Vol.

Monthly
US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

February 15

12%

February 28

27%

February 15

12%

February 28

27%

$10m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

11%

chance

$4m Vol.

Monthly
Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

February 1

<1%

February 2

1%

February 1

<1%

February 2

1%

$340k Vol.

Daily
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

31%

chance

$4m Vol.

Monthly
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

February 3

13%

February 4

42%

February 3

13%

February 4

42%

$383k Vol.

Daily
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

32%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

19%

chance

$395k Vol.

Monthly
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...? card icon

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

March 31, 2026

31%

June 30

53%

March 31, 2026

31%

June 30

53%

$2m Vol.

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? card icon

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

36%

chance

$72k Vol.

Monthly