Israel Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

US next strikes Iran on...?

Israel

US next strikes Iran on...?

$24m Vol.

$1m today

$412k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

91%

No strike by January 31

$24m Vol.

$1m today

$412k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Israel

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

$7m Vol.

$384k today

$190k Liq.

187

Ends in 17 days

78%

December 31

$7m Vol.

$384k today

$190k Liq.

187

Ends in 17 days

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Israel

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

$15m Vol.

$283k today

$80.4k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

8%

$15m Vol.

$283k today

$80.4k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

US next strikes Iran on...?

Israel

US next strikes Iran on...?

$276k Vol.

$232k today

$301k Liq.

Ends in 30 days

48%

No strike by February 28

$276k Vol.

$232k today

$301k Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Israel

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

$6m Vol.

$200k today

$38.5k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

62%

January 30

$6m Vol.

$200k today

$38.5k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Israel

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

$3m Vol.

$196k today

$11.1k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

32%

January 31

$3m Vol.

$196k today

$11.1k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Israel

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$8m Vol.

$146k today

$165k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

26%

$8m Vol.

$146k today

$165k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$2m Vol.

$118k today

$30.4k Liq.

354

60%

June 30

$2m Vol.

$118k today

$30.4k Liq.

354

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Israel

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$3m Vol.

$100k today

$165k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

41%

$3m Vol.

$100k today

$165k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Israel

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$3m Vol.

$97.3k today

$166k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

17%

$3m Vol.

$97.3k today

$166k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

$517k Vol.

$89.7k today

$10.3k Liq.

112

60%

June 30

$517k Vol.

$89.7k today

$10.3k Liq.

112

Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?

Israel

Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?

$176k Vol.

$74.8k today

$35.0k Liq.

42

Ends in 1 day

100%

$176k Vol.

$74.8k today

$35.0k Liq.

42

Ends in 1 day

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Israel

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

$253k Vol.

$55.3k today

$3.3k Liq.

6

15%

March 31, 2026

$253k Vol.

$55.3k today

$3.3k Liq.

6

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Israel

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

$4m Vol.

$72.6k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

35%

$4m Vol.

$72.6k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

Israel

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

$860k Vol.

$27.0k Liq.

18

Ends in 30 days

39%

February 28

$860k Vol.

$27.0k Liq.

18

Ends in 30 days

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Israel

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$795k Vol.

$78.6k Liq.

44

Ends in 5 months

17%

June 30

$795k Vol.

$78.6k Liq.

44

Ends in 5 months

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

Israel

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

$5m Vol.

$168k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

<1%

$5m Vol.

$168k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Israel

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

$2m Vol.

$117k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

51%

$2m Vol.

$117k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Israel

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

$320k Vol.

$47.6k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

27%

December 31

$320k Vol.

$47.6k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Israel

Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

$19.7k Vol.

$28.0k Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

4%

$19.7k Vol.

$28.0k Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

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