Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 82%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 9%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 2.8%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP 1.1%
$4,438,774 Vol.
$4,438,774 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$183,680 Vol.
82%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$183,680 Vol.
82%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$191,951 Vol.
9%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$191,951 Vol.
9%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$196,179 Vol.
3%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$196,179 Vol.
3%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$223,421 Vol.
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$223,421 Vol.
1%
Lecornu - France PM
$153,310 Vol.
1%
Lecornu - France PM
$153,310 Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$157,346 Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$157,346 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$210,235 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$210,235 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$146,637 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$146,637 Vol.
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$165,310 Vol.
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$165,310 Vol.
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$144,110 Vol.
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$144,110 Vol.
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$149,638 Vol.
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$149,638 Vol.
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$179,563 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$179,563 Vol.
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$171,249 Vol.
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$171,249 Vol.
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$166,416 Vol.
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$166,416 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$130,793 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$130,793 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$127,765 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$127,765 Vol.
<1%
None before 2027
$158,340 Vol.
<1%
None before 2027
$158,340 Vol.
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$141,787 Vol.
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$141,787 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$146,969 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$146,969 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$169,224 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$169,224 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$169,162 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$169,162 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$172,733 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$172,733 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$164,767 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$164,767 Vol.
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
$152,791 Vol.
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
$152,791 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$174,282 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$174,282 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$142,062 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$142,062 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$149,057 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$149,057 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 82%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 9%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 2.8%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP 1.1%
$4,438,774 Vol.
$4,438,774 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
82%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
9%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
3%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
1%
Lecornu - France PM
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
1%
Trump - USA President
1%
Putin - Russia President
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
1%
Starmer - UK PM
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
<1%
Macron - France President
<1%
None before 2027
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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