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Politics polymarkets
Fed decision in January?
$84m Vol.
$6m today
$5m Liq.
1,369
Ends in 28 days
87%
No change
Maduro out by...?
$41m Vol.
$2m today
$804k Liq.
1,893
Ends in about 1 year
47%
December 31, 2026
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$144m Vol.
$8m Liq.
185
Ends in almost 3 years
54%
J.D. Vance
Elon Musk # tweets December 26 - January 2, 2026?
$6m Vol.
$251k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
20%
460-479
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
$73m Vol.
$650k Liq.
20,371
Ends in about 8 hours
<1%
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
$50m Vol.
$191k Liq.
5,412
Ends in 3 months
44%
March 31, 2026
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$417m Vol.
$1m today
$20m Liq.
372
34%
Gavin Newsom
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$95m Vol.
$2m Liq.
274
Ends in 12 months
45%
Kevin Hassett
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$165m Vol.
$12m Liq.
495
31%
JD Vance
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next?
$18m Vol.
$897k Liq.
100%
No meeting by December 31
Elon Musk # tweets December 30 - January 6, 2026?
$2m Vol.
$820k today
$447k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
12%
380-399
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
$1m Vol.
$715k today
$295k Liq.
40
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
$877k Vol.
$460k today
$35.0k Liq.
25
Portugal Presidential Election
$82m Vol.
$355k today
$1m Liq.
Ends in 25 days
76%
Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
$5m Vol.
$266k today
$528k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
6%
Elon Musk # tweets January 2 - January 9, 2026?
$302k Vol.
$240k today
$316k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
360-379
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
$12m Vol.
$231k today
$141k Liq.
71
What will Trump say during Netanyahu event on Monday?
$868k Vol.
$230k today
$2.2k Liq.
789
75%
Nuclear 3+ times
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...?
$510k Vol.
$185k today
$59.3k Liq.
128
92%
Colombia Presidential Election
$180k today
$111k Liq.
126
Ends in 6 months
36%
Abelardo de la Espriella
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