Iran Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

World Events

World Events

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

February 3

1%

February 4

1%

February 3

1%

February 4

1%

$162m Vol.

Monthly
US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

February 1

<1%

February 2

<1%

February 1

<1%

February 2

<1%

$5m Vol.

Monthly
Next Country US Strikes card icon

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia

90%

Syria

4%

Somalia

90%

Syria

4%

$962k Vol.

Monthly
US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

February 15

12%

February 28

24%

February 15

12%

February 28

24%

$10m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

11%

chance

$4m Vol.

Monthly
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

31%

chance

$4m Vol.

Monthly
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...? card icon

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

March 31, 2026

36%

June 30, 2026

44%

March 31, 2026

36%

June 30, 2026

44%

$5m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

32%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

18%

chance

$376k Vol.

Monthly
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? card icon

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

36%

chance

$72k Vol.

Monthly
US forces enter Iran by..? card icon

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

7%

chance

$203k Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

20%

chance

$1m Vol.

Monthly