Browse

New

Trending

Popular

Liquid

Ending Soon

Competitive

Topics

Live Crypto

Live Crypto

Politics

Politics

Middle East

Middle East

Crypto

Crypto

Sports

Sports

Pop Culture

Pop Culture

Tech

Tech

AI

Trending Breaking New

Politics Sports Crypto Finance Geopolitics Earnings Tech Culture World Economy Climate & Science Elections Mentions More

Politics

All Trump Epstein Venezuela Midterms Primaries Minnesota Unrest US Election Trade War Congress Global Elections NYC Mayor Ukraine Mayoral Elections Courts Gaza Israel Cabinet Senate

Politics

All Trump Epstein Venezuela Midterms Primaries Minnesota Unrest US Election Trade War Congress Global Elections NYC Mayor Ukraine Mayoral Elections Courts Gaza Israel Cabinet Senate

US government shutdown Saturday? card icon

US government shutdown Saturday?

100%

chance

$83m Vol.

Daily

Fed decision in March? card icon

Fed decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

8%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

8%

$34m Vol.

Monthly

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

February 1

1%

February 2

3%

February 1

1%

February 2

3%

$146m Vol.

Monthly

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

98%

Judy Shelton

1%

Kevin Warsh

98%

Judy Shelton

1%

$361m Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

34%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

9%

Gavin Newsom

34%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

9%

$581m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

26%

Gavin Newsom

20%

JD Vance

26%

Gavin Newsom

20%

$241m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

50%

Marco Rubio

14%

J.D. Vance

50%

Marco Rubio

14%

$235m Vol.

How long will the Government Shutdown last? card icon

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

3+ days

100%

4+ days

95%

3+ days

100%

4+ days

95%

$7m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 27 - February 3, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 27 - February 3, 2026?

240-259

<1%

260-279

<1%

240-259

<1%

260-279

<1%

$10m Vol.

Weekly

US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

February 15

24%

February 28

40%

February 15

24%

February 28

40%

$9m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets February 3 - February 10, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets February 3 - February 10, 2026?

<20

<1%

20-39

<1%

<20

<1%

20-39

<1%

NEW

•

$2m Vol.

Weekly

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 30

<1%

January 31

<1%

January 30

<1%

January 31

<1%

$28m Vol.

Monthly

Elon Musk # tweets January 30 - February 6, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 30 - February 6, 2026?

60-79

<1%

80-99

<1%

60-79

<1%

80-99

<1%

$3m Vol.

Weekly

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 2026

<1%

February 1

1%

January 2026

<1%

February 1

1%

$2m Vol.

Monthly

Costa Rica Presidential Election card icon

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

94%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

6%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

94%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

6%

$3m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 31 - February 2, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 31 - February 2, 2026?

<40

<1%

40-64

2%

<40

<1%

40-64

2%

$914k Vol.

Daily

Who will Trump talk to in January? card icon

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

21%

chance

$7m Vol.

Monthly

Next Country US Strikes card icon

Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

<1%

chance

$5m Vol.

Monthly

Next leader out of power before 2027? card icon

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Schoof - Netherlands PM

77%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

13%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

77%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

13%

$4m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

13%

chance

$12m Vol.

The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Related Politics topics

ElectionPredictions CongressPredictions TrumpPredictions VenezuelaPredictions EpsteinPredictions ListPredictions Cabinet for trumpPredictions AlexPredictions DerivativesPredictions SCOTUSPredictions

AliensPredictions AllPredictions ICEPredictions SomalianPredictions ImmigrationPredictions CourtsPredictions ApprovalPredictions SomaliPredictions MinnesotaPredictions MexicoPredictions

Popular Politics markets

Next Country US Strikes Venezuela leader end of 2026?Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?Portugal Presidential Election Thailand Legislative Election Winner Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?Next French Presidential Election Will Tim Walz resign by...?Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Iran Strike on Israel by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Elon Musk musk # tweets in March 2026?

New Politics markets

Elon Musk # tweets February 2 - February 4, 2026?Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?How many different countries will the US strike in February?Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?Will the RSF capture Kadugli by March 31?Will the RSF capture Dilling by March 31?Will the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28?Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28?Number of TSA Passengers February 3?Number of TSA Passengers February 8?Number of TSA Passengers February 7?Number of TSA Passengers February 9?Number of TSA Passengers February 6?Number of TSA Passengers February 5?

Adventure One QSS Inc. © 2026/Privacy/Terms of Use/Help Center/Docs

Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market. This international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. See our Terms of Service & Privacy Policy.

Home

Breaking