Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Kevin Warsh 99.2%

Judy Shelton <1%

Rick Rieder <1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

$334,367,928 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$19,461,326 Vol.
99%

Judy Shelton
$25,852,013 Vol.
1%

Rick Rieder
$15,118,595 Vol.
<1%

Kevin Hassett
$19,166,824 Vol.
<1%

Christopher Waller
$12,706,304 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,516,215 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$5,797,480 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,393,965 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,960,352 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,105,616 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$16,835,112 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,347,107 Vol.
<1%

Stephen Miran
$8,731,621 Vol.
<1%

Scott Bessent
$12,987,472 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,440,958 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$4,133,874 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$17,756,970 Vol.
<1%

Michelle Bowman
$11,856,633 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,491,145 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,598,628 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$21,026,612 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,890,631 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$20,697,663 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$23,275,798 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$8,290,481 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 99.2%

Judy Shelton <1%

Rick Rieder <1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

$334,367,928 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$19,461,326 Vol.

99%

Judy Shelton

$25,852,013 Vol.

Rick Rieder

$15,118,595 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Hassett

$19,166,824 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Waller

$12,706,304 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,516,215 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$5,797,480 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,393,965 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,960,352 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,105,616 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$16,835,112 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,347,107 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$8,731,621 Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$12,987,472 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,440,958 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4,133,874 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,756,970 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bowman

$11,856,633 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,491,145 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,598,628 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$21,026,612 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,890,631 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,697,663 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23,275,798 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$8,290,481 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$334,367,928

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will 52 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

39%

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?

40%

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

<1%

Beware of external links.