Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

chance

$17m Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

February 1

85%

February 2

63%

February 1

85%

February 2

63%

$59k Vol.

Daily

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

February 1

64%

February 2

47%

February 1

64%

February 2

47%

$46k Vol.

Daily

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

39%

chance

$202k Vol.

Monthly

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

January 31

<1%

March 31, 2026

39%

January 31

<1%

March 31, 2026

39%

$2m Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

40%

chance

$101k Vol.

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Russia

31%

Ukraine

17%

Russia

31%

Ukraine

17%

$613k Vol.

Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?

chance

$75k Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

62%

chance

$306k Vol.

Monthly

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

52%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...? card icon

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?

18%

chance

$110k Vol.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

March 31

17%

June 30

44%

March 31

17%

June 30

44%

$4m Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

March 31, 2026

26%

February 28, 2026

21%

March 31, 2026

26%

February 28, 2026

21%

$1m Vol.

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

chance

$60k Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

11%

chance

$244k Vol.

Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?

chance

NEW

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

75%

chance

$11k Vol.

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

24%

chance

NEW

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

June 30

31%

December 31

44%

June 30

31%

December 31

44%

NEW

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland

41%

Azerbaijan

33%

Somaliland

41%

Azerbaijan

33%

$153k Vol.

Gaza Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Politics

Politics