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Global Elections Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Politics

All Trump Epstein Venezuela Midterms Primaries Minnesota Unrest US Election Trade War Congress Global Elections NYC Mayor Ukraine Mayoral Elections Courts Gaza Israel Cabinet Senate

Politics

All Trump Epstein Venezuela Midterms Primaries Minnesota Unrest US Election Trade War Congress Global Elections NYC Mayor Ukraine Mayoral Elections Courts Gaza Israel Cabinet Senate

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

34%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

8%

Gavin Newsom

34%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

8%

$580m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

50%

Marco Rubio

15%

J.D. Vance

50%

Marco Rubio

15%

$233m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

26%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

26%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$238m Vol.

Costa Rica Presidential Election card icon

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

93%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

7%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

93%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

7%

$3m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

99%

André Ventura (CH)

1%

António José Seguro (IND)

99%

André Ventura (CH)

1%

$127m Vol.

Thailand Legislative Election Winner card icon

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

People’s Party (PPLE)

65%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

29%

People’s Party (PPLE)

65%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

29%

$4m Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Hungary card icon

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar

52%

Viktor Orbán

46%

Péter Magyar

52%

Viktor Orbán

46%

$6m Vol.

Monthly

Next French Presidential Election card icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella

26%

Édouard Philippe

14%

Jordan Bardella

26%

Édouard Philippe

14%

$4m Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government? card icon

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

VVD + CDA + D66

96%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

<1%

VVD + CDA + D66

96%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

<1%

$31m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round card icon

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Seguro 50%+

2%

Seguro 40-50%

26%

Seguro 50%+

2%

Seguro 40-50%

26%

$739k Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam card icon

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Lê Minh Hưng

92%

Phạm Thị Thanh Trà

<1%

Lê Minh Hưng

92%

Phạm Thị Thanh Trà

<1%

$1m Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election card icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

52%

Flávio Bolsonaro

28%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

52%

Flávio Bolsonaro

28%

$15m Vol.

Next President of Vietnam card icon

Next President of Vietnam

Tô Lâm

93%

Phan Văn Giang

4%

Tô Lâm

93%

Phan Văn Giang

4%

$4m Vol.

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election? card icon

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

Sanae Takaichi

97%

Shinjirō Koizumi

1%

Sanae Takaichi

97%

Shinjirō Koizumi

1%

$998k Vol.

Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election Winner card icon

Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election Winner

PPSO

96%

PLN

4%

PPSO

96%

PLN

4%

$1m Vol.

Colombia Presidential Election card icon

Colombia Presidential Election

Iván Cepeda Castro

39%

Abelardo de la Espriella

35%

Iván Cepeda Castro

39%

Abelardo de la Espriella

35%

$3m Vol.

Japan General Election Winner? card icon

Japan General Election Winner?

LDP

99%

CRA

1%

LDP

99%

CRA

1%

$599k Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms card icon

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

36%

D Senate, R House

1%

Democrats Sweep

36%

D Senate, R House

1%

$2m Vol.

Paris Mayoral Election card icon

Paris Mayoral Election

Emmanuel Grégoire

56%

Rachida Dati

38%

Emmanuel Grégoire

56%

Rachida Dati

38%

$2m Vol.

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner card icon

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

TISZA

61%

Fidesz

40%

TISZA

61%

Fidesz

40%

$420k Vol.

The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Popular Global Elections markets

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Next Prime Minister of Thailand Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner Rhineland-Palatinate Parliamentary Election Winner

Which party will win the House in 2026?Gorton and Denton by-election Winner Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner Thailand Legislative Election 3rd Place Japan General Election 3rd Place?# of seats won by PPLE in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?French election called by...?Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election 2nd Place Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner

New Global Elections markets

Governing Parties after Japanese snap election?Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Margin of Victory Gorton and Denton by-election Winner Turnout in 2026 Japanese Snap Election?Thailand Legislative Election 3rd Place Thailand Legislative Election 2nd Place # of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?# of seats won by BJT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?# of seats won by PPLE in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

Will CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election?Which parties will lose seats in Japanese snap election?# of JIP seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?# of DPFP seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?# of CRA seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?# of LDP seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?How many seats will Partido Popular win in the Aragon election?How many seats will Partido Popular win in the Castilla y Leon election?Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round Japan General Election 2nd Place?

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