Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863763Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Rick Rieder 37.4%

Kevin Warsh 32%

Christopher Waller 15.1%

Kevin Hassett 7.5%

$281,426,490 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder
$9,750,735 Vol.
37%

Kevin Warsh
$10,502,056 Vol.
32%

Christopher Waller
$7,943,429 Vol.
15%

Kevin Hassett
$15,426,597 Vol.
8%

Scott Bessent
$9,714,234 Vol.
3%

Judy Shelton
$9,608,982 Vol.
3%

Stephen Miran
$7,021,201 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$7,136,139 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$5,494,939 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$15,627,985 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$7,002,848 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,412,635 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,331,965 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,921,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,062,281 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,321,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,383,828 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$4,040,383 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$17,472,401 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,371,245 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,571,628 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,919,112 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,858,631 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$20,526,469 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,999,633 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder 37.4%

Kevin Warsh 32%

Christopher Waller 15.1%

Kevin Hassett 7.5%

$281,426,490 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder

$9,750,735 Vol.

37%

Kevin Warsh

$10,502,056 Vol.

32%

Christopher Waller

$7,943,429 Vol.

15%

Kevin Hassett

$15,426,597 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$9,714,234 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$9,608,982 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$7,021,201 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$7,136,139 Vol.

David Malpass

$5,494,939 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$15,627,985 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$7,002,848 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,412,635 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,331,965 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,921,022 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,062,281 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,321,107 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,383,828 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4,040,383 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,472,401 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,371,245 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,571,628 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,919,112 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,858,631 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,526,469 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,999,633 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$281,426,490

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

86%

Will 52 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

38%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

99%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder
$9,750,735 Vol.
37%

Kevin Warsh
$10,502,056 Vol.
32%

Christopher Waller
$7,943,429 Vol.
15%

Kevin Hassett
$15,426,597 Vol.
8%

Scott Bessent
$9,714,234 Vol.
3%

Judy Shelton
$9,608,982 Vol.
3%

Stephen Miran
$7,021,201 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$7,136,139 Vol.
1%

David Malpass
$5,494,939 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$15,627,985 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$7,002,848 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,412,635 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,331,965 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,921,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,062,281 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,321,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,383,828 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$4,040,383 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$17,472,401 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,371,245 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,571,628 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,919,112 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,858,631 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$20,526,469 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,999,633 Vol.
<1%

Market Context