AI Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Technology

Technology

Which companies will be acquired before 2027? card icon

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Perplexity AI

42%

Ubisoft

42%

Perplexity AI

42%

Ubisoft

42%

$9m Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of February? card icon

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Google

92%

xAI

3%

Google

92%

xAI

3%

$330k Vol.

Monthly
Okbet Arena AI trading competition winner? card icon

Okbet Arena AI trading competition winner?

GPT

100%

Claude

<1%

GPT

100%

Claude

<1%

$212k Vol.

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? card icon

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

80%

chance

NEW

•

$122k Vol.

Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28? card icon

Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?

8%

chance

NEW

•

$66k Vol.

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31? card icon

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

40%+

2%

50%+

2%

40%+

2%

50%+

2%

$2m Vol.

Daily
Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On) card icon

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Google

86%

xAI

11%

Google

86%

xAI

11%

$34k Vol.

Monthly
Largest Company end of June? card icon

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA

68%

Alphabet

24%

NVIDIA

68%

Alphabet

24%

$1m Vol.

Monthly
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30? card icon

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

xAI

41%

OpenAI

21%

xAI

41%

OpenAI

21%

$564k Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of March? card icon

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Google

80%

OpenAI

7%

Google

80%

OpenAI

7%

$1m Vol.

Monthly
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30? card icon

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

35%+

50%

40%+

46%

35%+

50%

40%+

46%

NEW

•

$14k Vol.

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30? card icon

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

40%+

70%

45%+

54%

40%+

70%

45%+

54%

$12k Vol.

Monthly
Largest Company end of December 2026? card icon

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA

48%

Alphabet

34%

NVIDIA

48%

Alphabet

34%

$449k Vol.

Monthly
Which company has the second best AI model end of February? card icon

Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

Google

77%

Anthropic

9%

Google

77%

Anthropic

9%

$15k Vol.

Monthly
Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31? card icon

Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

40%+

<1%

45%

<1%

40%+

<1%

45%

<1%

$773k Vol.

Monthly
Which company has best AI model end of June? card icon

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Google

67%

xAI

14%

Google

67%

xAI

14%

$731k Vol.

Monthly
Grok 4.20 released by...? card icon

Grok 4.20 released by...?

January 31

1%

February 14

15%

January 31

1%

February 14

15%

$547k Vol.

Grok 4.20 released on...? card icon

Grok 4.20 released on...?

January 31

1%

No release by January 31

100%

January 31

1%

No release by January 31

100%

$783k Vol.