Grok 4.20 released on...?
$9,310 Vol.
December 30 18.8%
No release by January 31 10.3%
January 5 27.5%
January 7 8%
December 30
$4,447 Vol.
19%
December 30
$4,447 Vol.
19%
December 31
$171 Vol.
27%
December 31
$171 Vol.
27%
January 1
$160 Vol.
3%
January 1
$160 Vol.
3%
January 2
$127 Vol.
4%
January 2
$127 Vol.
4%
January 3
$120 Vol.
3%
January 3
$120 Vol.
3%
January 4
$137 Vol.
3%
January 4
$137 Vol.
3%
January 5
$220 Vol.
28%
January 5
$220 Vol.
28%
January 6
$120 Vol.
3%
January 6
$120 Vol.
3%
January 7
$193 Vol.
8%
January 7
$193 Vol.
8%
January 8
$120 Vol.
3%
January 8
$120 Vol.
3%
January 9
$130 Vol.
3%
January 9
$130 Vol.
3%
January 10
$120 Vol.
3%
January 10
$120 Vol.
3%
January 11
$120 Vol.
3%
January 11
$120 Vol.
3%
January 12
$200 Vol.
3%
January 12
$200 Vol.
3%
January 13
$120 Vol.
3%
January 13
$120 Vol.
3%
January 14
$120 Vol.
3%
January 14
$120 Vol.
3%
January 15
$125 Vol.
4%
January 15
$125 Vol.
4%
January 16
$120 Vol.
3%
January 16
$120 Vol.
3%
January 17
$120 Vol.
3%
January 17
$120 Vol.
3%
January 18
$120 Vol.
3%
January 18
$120 Vol.
3%
January 19
$120 Vol.
2%
January 19
$120 Vol.
2%
January 20
$120 Vol.
2%
January 20
$120 Vol.
2%
January 21
$120 Vol.
2%
January 21
$120 Vol.
2%
January 22
$120 Vol.
2%
January 22
$120 Vol.
2%
January 23
$120 Vol.
2%
January 23
$120 Vol.
2%
January 24
$120 Vol.
1%
January 24
$120 Vol.
1%
January 25
$120 Vol.
2%
January 25
$120 Vol.
2%
January 26
$120 Vol.
2%
January 26
$120 Vol.
2%
January 27
$120 Vol.
3%
January 27
$120 Vol.
3%
January 28
$120 Vol.
2%
January 28
$120 Vol.
2%
January 29
$120 Vol.
2%
January 29
$120 Vol.
2%
January 30
$120 Vol.
2%
January 30
$120 Vol.
2%
January 31
$120 Vol.
5%
January 31
$120 Vol.
5%
No release by January 31
$320 Vol.
10%
No release by January 31
$320 Vol.
10%
Rules
This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Dec 29, 2025, 9:46 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$9,310 Vol.
Grok 4.20 released on...?
December 30 18.8%
No release by January 31 10.3%
January 5 27.5%
January 7 8%
December 30
19%
December 31
27%
January 1
3%
January 2
4%
January 3
3%
January 4
3%
January 5
28%
January 6
3%
January 7
8%
January 8
3%
January 9
3%
January 10
3%
January 11
3%
January 12
3%
January 13
3%
January 14
3%
January 15
4%
January 16
3%
January 17
3%
January 18
3%
January 19
2%
January 20
2%
January 21
2%
January 22
2%
January 23
2%
January 24
1%
January 25
2%
January 26
2%
January 27
3%
January 28
2%
January 29
2%
January 30
2%
January 31
5%
No release by January 31
10%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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