Technology

NASA Artemis II

February 7

February 28

70%

February 7

February 28

70%

$116k Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

500B–600B

<500B

500B–600B

$1m Vol.

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

46%

$STAR

19%

46%

$STAR

19%

$2m Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

No IPO before 2028

19%

<1.0T

28%

No IPO before 2028

19%

<1.0T

28%

$58k Vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

January 31

<1%

February 28

January 31

<1%

February 28

$739k Vol.

How many SpaceX launches in February?

NEW

•

$15k Vol.

Monthly

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

76%

>$1.2T

66%

>$1T

76%

>$1.2T

66%

$326k Vol.

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

49%

chance

$145k Vol.

Daily

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

5-6

28%

5-6

28%

$86k Vol.

Daily

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

21%

chance

$11k Vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

25%

chance

$76k Vol.

Daily

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

<100

100-119

<100

100-119

NEW

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

41%

chance

NEW

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Morgan Stanley

54%

Goldman Sachs

15%

Morgan Stanley

54%

Goldman Sachs

15%

$304k Vol.

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

March 31

June 30

57%

March 31

June 30

57%

NEW

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

chance

$457k Vol.

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...? card icon

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by January 31, 2026?

chance

NEW

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

79%

SpaceX

NEW

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

79%

SpaceX

NEW

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

chance

$53k Vol.

SpaceX Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

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