Market icon

Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

Google 67%

DeepSeek 19.6%

OpenAI 7%

xAI 14%

NEW

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$3,046
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Jan 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

Google 67%

DeepSeek 19.6%

OpenAI 7%

xAI 14%

NEW
Market icon

Google

$775 Vol.

67%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$236 Vol.

20%

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OpenAI

$240 Vol.

7%

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xAI

$224 Vol.

14%

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Baidu

$245 Vol.

6%

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Z.ai

$224 Vol.

5%

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Alibaba

$244 Vol.

4%

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Meituan

$184 Vol.

3%

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Moonshot

$224 Vol.

3%

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Mistral

$224 Vol.

2%

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Anthropic

$225 Vol.

10%

About

Volume
$3,046
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Jan 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Beware of external links.