Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$103,214 Vol.
Google 80%
xAI 11.6%
OpenAI 6%
DeepSeek 2.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Google
$11,794 Vol.
80%

$11,794 Vol.
80%

xAI
$7,830 Vol.
12%

xAI
$7,830 Vol.
12%

OpenAI
$7,928 Vol.
6%

OpenAI
$7,928 Vol.
6%

DeepSeek
$6,487 Vol.
2%

DeepSeek
$6,487 Vol.
2%

Anthropic
$7,577 Vol.
2%

Anthropic
$7,577 Vol.
2%

Moonshot
$7,713 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$7,713 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$11,671 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$11,671 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$16,408 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$16,408 Vol.
<1%

Baidu
$7,220 Vol.
<1%

Baidu
$7,220 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$8,396 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$8,396 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$10,187 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$10,187 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTC
Volume
$103,214End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$103,214 Vol.
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Google 80%
xAI 11.6%
OpenAI 6%
DeepSeek 2.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

$11,794 Vol.
80%

xAI
$7,830 Vol.
12%

OpenAI
$7,928 Vol.
6%

DeepSeek
$6,487 Vol.
2%

Anthropic
$7,577 Vol.
2%

Moonshot
$7,713 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$11,671 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$16,408 Vol.
<1%

Baidu
$7,220 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$8,396 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$10,187 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$103,214End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.