Market icon

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

$103,214 Vol.

Google 80%

xAI 11.6%

OpenAI 6%

DeepSeek 2.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$103,214
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTC
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$103,214 Vol.

Market icon

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Google 80%

xAI 11.6%

OpenAI 6%

DeepSeek 2.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Google

$11,794 Vol.

80%

Market icon

xAI

$7,830 Vol.

12%

Market icon

OpenAI

$7,928 Vol.

6%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$6,487 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Anthropic

$7,577 Vol.

2%

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Moonshot

$7,713 Vol.

<1%

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Alibaba

$11,671 Vol.

<1%

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Z.ai

$16,408 Vol.

<1%

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Baidu

$7,220 Vol.

<1%

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Meituan

$8,396 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mistral

$10,187 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$103,214
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.