Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

Name: Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?
Start: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

Ended: Jan 31

$1,996,533 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026

40%+
$510,435 Vol.
No

50%+
$505,158 Vol.
No

60%+
$431,353 Vol.
No

70%+
$549,587 Vol.
No

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

Ended: Jan 31

$1,996,533 Vol.

40%+

$510,435 Vol.

50%+

$505,158 Vol.

60%+

$431,353 Vol.

70%+

$549,587 Vol.

About

Volume

$1,996,533

End Date

Jan 31, 2026

Created At

Nov 4, 2025, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Exam?

70%

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?

80%

Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?

65%

Beware of external links.

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

40%+
$510,435 Vol.
No

50%+
$505,158 Vol.
No

60%+
$431,353 Vol.
No

70%+
$549,587 Vol.
No

Market Context