Khamenei predictions & odds

·
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

17%

$3m Vol.

$104k today

$168k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

40%

$3m Vol.

$87.5k today

$166k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

25%

$8m Vol.

$70.5k today

$170k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31?

43%

February 28

$151k Vol.

$59.1k today

$6.2k Liq.

4

Ends in 1 day

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

Khamenei

Politics

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

3%

>30%

$252k Vol.

$51.2k today

$25.4k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Khamenei

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

35%

$4m Vol.

$73.1k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

39%

February 28

$865k Vol.

$25.3k Liq.

18

Ends in 30 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Khamenei

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

52%

$2m Vol.

$111k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Khamenei

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

3%

$21.1k Vol.

$28.1k Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Iran strike on US military by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran strike on US military by January 31?

4%

$250k Vol.

$8.2k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

26%

$1m Vol.

$62.6k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

1%

$15.6k Vol.

$5.5k Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Khamenei

Politics

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

33%

$36.8k Vol.

$5.9k Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

62%

$29.8k Vol.

$10.3k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

Khamenei

Politics

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

16%

US Strikes Iran

$36.0k Vol.

$3.5k Liq.

5

Ends in 11 months

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?

Khamenei

Politics

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?

67%

June 30

$31.0k Vol.

$14.0k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by January 31?

Khamenei

Politics

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by January 31?

1%

$10.5k Vol.

$3.6k Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day