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Israel Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Geopolitics

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Geopolitics

All Iran Ukraine Venezuela Ukraine Peace Deal Ukraine Map Gaza Israel Sudan China Thailand-Cambodia Middle East Foreign Policy India-Pakistan South Korea Yemen Syria Turkey

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 30

<1%

January 31

<1%

January 30

<1%

January 31

<1%

$28m Vol.

Monthly

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 2026

<1%

February 1

<1%

January 2026

<1%

February 1

<1%

$3m Vol.

Monthly

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

21%

chance

$9m Vol.

Daily

US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

February 15

23%

February 28

34%

February 15

23%

February 28

34%

$10m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

11%

chance

$3m Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

February 2

69%

February 3

64%

February 2

69%

February 3

64%

$181k Vol.

Daily

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

31%

chance

$4m Vol.

Daily

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

48%

chance

$2m Vol.

Daily

Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

February 1

2%

February 2

31%

February 1

2%

February 2

31%

$130k Vol.

Daily

Iran Strike on Israel by...? card icon

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

January 31

<1%

February 28

29%

January 31

<1%

February 28

29%

$1m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

34%

chance

$4m Vol.

Monthly

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

43%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

31%

chance

$263k Vol.

Monthly

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? card icon

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

March 31

17%

June 30

24%

March 31

17%

June 30

24%

$503k Vol.

Weekly

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

22%

chance

$1m Vol.

Monthly

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...? card icon

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

March 31, 2026

53%

June 30, 2026

60%

March 31, 2026

53%

June 30, 2026

60%

$5m Vol.

Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by...? card icon

Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by...?

January 31

<1%

March 31

43%

January 31

<1%

March 31

43%

$64k Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? card icon

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

February 28

2%

March 31

5%

February 28

2%

March 31

5%

$880k Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

56%

chance

$323k Vol.

Monthly

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...? card icon

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

March 31, 2026

34%

June 30

49%

March 31, 2026

34%

June 30

49%

$2m Vol.

The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Popular Israel markets

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by February 28?Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?How many different countries will Israel strike in February?US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Israel x Syria security agreement by...?Iran coup attempt by June 30?Nothing Ever Happens: Iran Strike Edition Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Bank of Israel Decision in February?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

New Israel markets

Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by February 28?Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?How many different countries will Israel strike in February?Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?Nothing Ever Happens: Iran Strike Edition Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Iran coup attempt by June 30?Israel strike on Yemen by...?Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?Bank of Israel Decision in March?Bank of Israel Decision in February?Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

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