Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$36,237 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 50%

Naftali Bennett 36%

Moshe Feiglin 6.3%

Yair Lapid 3.7%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

$36,237

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$36,237 Vol.

Market icon

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 50%

Naftali Bennett 36%

Moshe Feiglin 6.3%

Yair Lapid 3.7%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Benjamin Netanyahu

$14,208 Vol.

50%

Naftali Bennett

$5,246 Vol.

36%

Moshe Feiglin

$3,406 Vol.

6%

Yair Lapid

$1,298 Vol.

4%

Benny Gantz

$1,497 Vol.

2%

Yossi Cohen

$1,674 Vol.

1%

Avigdor Lieberman

$1,414 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$1,602 Vol.

1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$1,219 Vol.

1%

Yariv Levin

$1,156 Vol.

1%

Gadi Eizenkot

$1,769 Vol.

1%

Yair Golan

$1,748 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$36,237

End Date

Dec 31, 2026