China Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Geopolitics

Geopolitics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? card icon

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

13%

chance

$8m Vol.

Monthly
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31? card icon

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Russia

23%

Ukraine

17%

Russia

23%

Ukraine

17%

$628k Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? card icon

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

5%

chance

$346k Vol.

Monthly
Will Trump visit China by...? card icon

Will Trump visit China by...?

March 31, 2026

4%

April 30, 2026

83%

March 31, 2026

4%

April 30, 2026

83%

$1m Vol.

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? card icon

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Cai Qi

20%

Dong Jun

16%

Cai Qi

20%

Dong Jun

16%

NEW

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? card icon

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

5%

chance

$554k Vol.

Monthly
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? card icon

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

6%

chance

$476k Vol.

Monthly
China Annual GDP Growth 2026 card icon

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

<1.0%

1%

1.0–2.0%

1%

<1.0%

1%

1.0–2.0%

1%

$19k Vol.

DeepSeek V4 released by...? card icon

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

91%

chance

$17k Vol.

Daily
Who will acquire TikTok? card icon

Who will acquire TikTok?

Walmart

6%

Microsoft

6%

Walmart

6%

Microsoft

6%

$904k Vol.

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? card icon

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

1%

chance

$41k Vol.

China coup attempt before 2027? card icon

China coup attempt before 2027?

7%

chance

$80k Vol.