Geopolitics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

12%

chance

$13m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

chance

$1m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

45%

chance

$8m Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

27%

chance

$376k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

28%

chance

$367k Vol.

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

33%

chance

$74k Vol.

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

March 31

June 30

24%

March 31

June 30

24%

$161k Vol.

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

February 28

March 31

25%

February 28

March 31

25%

$1m Vol.

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

26%

chance

$93k Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

12%

chance

$35k Vol.

Monthly

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

16%

chance

$206k Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

46%

chance

$97k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

26%

chance

$263k Vol.

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?

10%

chance

$30k Vol.

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

June 30

10%

December 31

37%

June 30

10%

December 31

37%

$58k Vol.

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

30%

chance

$43k Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

30%

chance

$36k Vol.

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

20%

chance

NEW

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

39%

chance

$72k Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

20%

chance

$20k Vol.

Ukraine Peace Deal Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Geopolitics

Geopolitics