Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?
Google 68%
xAI 15%
None by June 30 13.4%
OpenAI 4.0%
$300,714 Vol.
$300,714 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Google
$37,524 Vol.
68%
$37,524 Vol.
68%
xAI
$19,796 Vol.
15%
xAI
$19,796 Vol.
15%
None by June 30
$16,910 Vol.
13%
None by June 30
$16,910 Vol.
13%
OpenAI
$27,814 Vol.
4%
OpenAI
$27,814 Vol.
4%
Anthropic
$72,842 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$72,842 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$46,341 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$46,341 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$47,681 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$47,681 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$16,157 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$16,157 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$15,650 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$15,650 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".
If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".
If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".
If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Created At: Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ET
Volume
$300,714End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?
Google 68%
xAI 15%
None by June 30 13.4%
OpenAI 4.0%
$300,714 Vol.
$300,714 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
$37,524 Vol.
68%
xAI
$19,796 Vol.
15%
None by June 30
$16,910 Vol.
13%
OpenAI
$27,814 Vol.
4%
Anthropic
$72,842 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$46,341 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$47,681 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$16,157 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$15,650 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$300,714End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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