Which company has the best AI model end of January?
$420,490 Vol.
Google 90%
xAI 7.7%
OpenAI 1.2%
Anthropic <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Google
$51,237 Vol.
90%

$51,237 Vol.
90%

xAI
$41,038 Vol.
8%

xAI
$41,038 Vol.
8%

OpenAI
$37,126 Vol.
1%

OpenAI
$37,126 Vol.
1%

Anthropic
$37,718 Vol.
1%

Anthropic
$37,718 Vol.
1%

DeepSeek
$36,779 Vol.
<1%

DeepSeek
$36,779 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$36,304 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$36,304 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$30,838 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$30,838 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$33,947 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$33,947 Vol.
<1%

Baidu
$37,720 Vol.
<1%

Baidu
$37,720 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$35,597 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$35,597 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$42,503 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$42,503 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTC
Volume
$420,490End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$420,490 Vol.
Which company has the best AI model end of January?
Google 90%
xAI 7.7%
OpenAI 1.2%
Anthropic <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

$51,237 Vol.
90%

xAI
$41,038 Vol.
8%

OpenAI
$37,126 Vol.
1%

Anthropic
$37,718 Vol.
1%

DeepSeek
$36,779 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$36,304 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$30,838 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$33,947 Vol.
<1%

Baidu
$37,720 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$35,597 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$42,503 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$420,490End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.



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