Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$14,388 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 1500
$3,545 Vol.
95%
↑ 1500
$3,545 Vol.
95%
↑ 1550
$7,227 Vol.
47%
↑ 1550
$7,227 Vol.
47%
↑ 1600
$3,616 Vol.
26%
↑ 1600
$3,616 Vol.
26%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Created At: Jan 2, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$14,388End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Jan 2, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$14,388 Vol.
↑ 1500
$3,545 Vol.
95%
↑ 1550
$7,227 Vol.
47%
↑ 1600
$3,616 Vol.
26%
About
Volume
$14,388End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Jan 2, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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