SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
$776,618 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
February 28
$14,382 Vol.
1%
February 28
$14,382 Vol.
1%
March 31
$30,220 Vol.
50%
March 31
$30,220 Vol.
50%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$97,703 Vol.
12%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$97,703 Vol.
12%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$82,243 Vol.
66%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$82,243 Vol.
66%
Successful splash down?
$49,238 Vol.
64%
Successful splash down?
$49,238 Vol.
64%
Rules
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Created At: Jan 6, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Volume
$776,618End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Jan 6, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
$776,618 Vol.
February 28
$14,382 Vol.
1%
March 31
$30,220 Vol.
50%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$97,703 Vol.
12%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$82,243 Vol.
66%
Successful splash down?
$49,238 Vol.
64%
About
Volume
$776,618End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Jan 6, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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