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Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

NEW
Dec 31, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.

2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).

Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.

A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,554
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Beware of external links.

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Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

$1,554 Vol.

Wang Yi

$199 Vol.

8%

Cai Qi

$338 Vol.

13%

Li Qiang

$187 Vol.

5%

Wang Huning

$21 Vol.

10%

Zhao Leji

$0 Vol.

11%

Ding Xuexiang

$163 Vol.

8%

Li Xi

$62 Vol.

9%

Zhang Shengmin

$289 Vol.

10%

Dong Jun

$294 Vol.

18%

About

Volume
$1,554
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Beware of external links.