Which company has the best AI model end of January?
Google 100.0%
Alibaba <1%
DeepSeek <1%
Mistral <1%
$28,966,530 Vol.
$28,966,530 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
Alibaba
$1,840,881 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$1,840,881 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$1,310,731 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$1,310,731 Vol.
No
Mistral
$7,300,706 Vol.
No
Mistral
$7,300,706 Vol.
No
OpenAI
$1,618,831 Vol.
No
OpenAI
$1,618,831 Vol.
No
xAI
$1,278,436 Vol.
No
xAI
$1,278,436 Vol.
No
Anthropic
$1,330,774 Vol.
No
Anthropic
$1,330,774 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$2,060,523 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$2,060,523 Vol.
No
Google
$1,700,794 Vol.
Yes
$1,700,794 Vol.
Yes
Baidu
$1,059,304 Vol.
No
Baidu
$1,059,304 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$1,937,942 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$1,937,942 Vol.
No
Meituan
$7,527,608 Vol.
No
Meituan
$7,527,608 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$28,966,530End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Which company has the best AI model end of January?
Google 100.0%
Alibaba <1%
DeepSeek <1%
Mistral <1%
$28,966,530 Vol.
$28,966,530 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
Alibaba
$1,840,881 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$1,310,731 Vol.
No
Mistral
$7,300,706 Vol.
No
OpenAI
$1,618,831 Vol.
No
xAI
$1,278,436 Vol.
No
Anthropic
$1,330,774 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$2,060,523 Vol.
No
$1,700,794 Vol.
Yes
Baidu
$1,059,304 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$1,937,942 Vol.
No
Meituan
$7,527,608 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$28,966,530End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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