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North Korea missile launch by February 14?

Feb 14

51% chance
NEW

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$13
End Date
Feb 14, 2026
Created At
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

North Korea missile launch by February 14?

Feb 14

51% chance
NEW

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$13
End Date
Feb 14, 2026
Created At
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Beware of external links.