Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 89.1%

500-750k 6.0%

<250k 2.9%

750k-1m 1.0%

$4,955,659 Vol.

Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$4,955,659
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 89.1%

500-750k 6.0%

<250k 2.9%

750k-1m 1.0%

$4,955,659 Vol.

<250k

$1,023,048 Vol.

3%

250-500k

$1,188,597 Vol.

89%

500-750k

$468,572 Vol.

6%

750k-1m

$448,106 Vol.

1%

1-1.25m

$433,862 Vol.

1%

1.25-1.5m

$359,785 Vol.

<1%

1.5-1.75m

$385,802 Vol.

1%

1.75-2m

$319,994 Vol.

<1%

2m+

$327,892 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$4,955,659
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

Beware of external links.