Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 91.5%

500-750k 4.5%

<250k 3.5%

750k-1m 1.0%

$4,749,635 Vol.

Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$4,749,635
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes less than 250,000 non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 91.5%

500-750k 4.5%

<250k 3.5%

750k-1m 1.0%

$4,749,635 Vol.

<250k

$998,131 Vol.

4%

250-500k

$1,073,304 Vol.

92%

500-750k

$460,295 Vol.

5%

750k-1m

$419,724 Vol.

1%

1-1.25m

$427,118 Vol.

1%

1.25-1.5m

$353,920 Vol.

<1%

1.5-1.75m

$382,357 Vol.

1%

1.75-2m

$311,303 Vol.

<1%

2m+

$323,483 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$4,749,635
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

Beware of external links.