How many different countries will Israel strike in January?
≤1 93.9%
2 4.1%
≥4 <1%
3 <1%
$239,686 Vol.
$239,686 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
≤1
$61,940 Vol.
94%
≤1
$61,940 Vol.
94%
2
$82,043 Vol.
4%
2
$82,043 Vol.
4%
3
$76,400 Vol.
1%
3
$76,400 Vol.
1%
≥4
$19,304 Vol.
1%
≥4
$19,304 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Volume
$239,686End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Jan 5, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...How many different countries will Israel strike in January?
≤1 93.9%
2 4.1%
≥4 <1%
3 <1%
$239,686 Vol.
$239,686 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
≤1
$61,940 Vol.
94%
2
$82,043 Vol.
4%
3
$76,400 Vol.
1%
≥4
$19,304 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$239,686End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Jan 5, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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