How many different countries will the US strike in 2026?
7 18.4%
8 17.8%
9 12.1%
6 9.5%
$168,270 Vol.
$168,270 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3
$37,209 Vol.
1%
3
$37,209 Vol.
1%
4
$2,563 Vol.
6%
4
$2,563 Vol.
6%
5
$3,267 Vol.
6%
5
$3,267 Vol.
6%
6
$733 Vol.
10%
6
$733 Vol.
10%
7
$1,052 Vol.
18%
7
$1,052 Vol.
18%
8
$2,090 Vol.
18%
8
$2,090 Vol.
18%
9
$2,168 Vol.
12%
9
$2,168 Vol.
12%
10
$5,194 Vol.
8%
10
$5,194 Vol.
8%
11
$2,630 Vol.
5%
11
$2,630 Vol.
5%
12
$2,507 Vol.
5%
12
$2,507 Vol.
5%
13
$1,478 Vol.
3%
13
$1,478 Vol.
3%
14
$1,199 Vol.
5%
14
$1,199 Vol.
5%
15+
$5,200 Vol.
7%
15+
$5,200 Vol.
7%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$168,270End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...How many different countries will the US strike in 2026?
7 18.4%
8 17.8%
9 12.1%
6 9.5%
$168,270 Vol.
$168,270 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3
$37,209 Vol.
1%
4
$2,563 Vol.
6%
5
$3,267 Vol.
6%
6
$733 Vol.
10%
7
$1,052 Vol.
18%
8
$2,090 Vol.
18%
9
$2,168 Vol.
12%
10
$5,194 Vol.
8%
11
$2,630 Vol.
5%
12
$2,507 Vol.
5%
13
$1,478 Vol.
3%
14
$1,199 Vol.
5%
15+
$5,200 Vol.
7%
About
Volume
$168,270End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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