ECB Interest Rates: February 2026
No change 99.0%
Increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$611,277 Vol.
$611,277 Vol.
50+ bps decrease
$186,382 Vol.
<1%
50+ bps decrease
$186,382 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$152,216 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$152,216 Vol.
<1%
No change
$157,649 Vol.
99%
No change
$157,649 Vol.
99%
Increase
$115,030 Vol.
1%
Increase
$115,030 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) February 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its February 5, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the February 5, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) February 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its February 5, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the February 5, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its February 5, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the February 5, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Created At: Nov 12, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Volume
$611,277End Date
Feb 5, 2026Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...ECB Interest Rates: February 2026
No change 99.0%
Increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$611,277 Vol.
$611,277 Vol.
50+ bps decrease
$186,382 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$152,216 Vol.
<1%
No change
$157,649 Vol.
99%
Increase
$115,030 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$611,277End Date
Feb 5, 2026Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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