Fed Markets | Polymarket

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 Fed polymarkets

Fed decision in January?

Fed decision in January?

87%

No change

$85m Vol.

$6m today

$5m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 28 days

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

45%

Kevin Hassett

$95m Vol.

$1m today

$2m Liq.

274

Ends in 12 months

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

100%

No announcement by December 31

$12m Vol.

$120k today

$592k Liq.

90

Ends in about 5 hours

Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

<1%

$440k Vol.

$29.5k Liq.

50

Ends in about 16 hours

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

89%

↓ 3.25%

$44.3k Vol.

$82.8k Liq.

3

Ends in 12 months

Fed decision in March?

Fed decision in March?

63%

No change

$729k Vol.

$331k Liq.

418

Ends in 3 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

23%

2 (50 bps)

$1m Vol.

$785k Liq.

18

Ends in 12 months

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

64%

No change

$489k Vol.

$281k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

<1%

$12m Vol.

$143k Liq.

420

Ends in about 5 hours

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

<1%

$2m Vol.

$39.2k Liq.

5

Ends in about 5 hours

Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?

Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?

100%

No announcement by December 31

$657k Vol.

$76.2k Liq.

1

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

63%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$272k Vol.

$80.1k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Jerome Powell in jail in 2025

Jerome Powell in jail in 2025

<1%

$24.1k Vol.

$3.9k Liq.

5

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

97%

June 30, 2026

$23.9k Vol.

$25.5k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed abolished in 2025?

Fed abolished in 2025?

<1%

$416k Vol.

$15.1k Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?

Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?

<1%

$25.7k Vol.

$10.8k Liq.

3

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

23%

February 28, 2026

$10m Vol.

$18.8k Liq.

1,096

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

96%

June Meeting

$11.9k Vol.

$88.5k Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

36%

2

$3.9k Vol.

$4.0k Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

46%

No change

$1.6k Vol.

$137k Liq.

Ends in 6 months