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What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

$14,721 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by January 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Volume
$14,721
End Date
Jan 28, 2026
Created At
Dec 11, 2025, 6:41 PM UTC
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$14,721 Vol.

Market icon

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Inflation 40+ times

$492 Vol.

86%

Inflation 50+ times

$245 Vol.

65%

Inflation 60+ times

$372 Vol.

27%

Percent 25+ times

$664 Vol.

61%

Job 15+ times

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75%

Tariff 13+ times

$62 Vol.

51%

SEP 4+ times

$807 Vol.

26%

Trump

$659 Vol.

12%

Median

$2,671 Vol.

42%

Stock Market

$6,756 Vol.

28%

Good afternoon

$485 Vol.

96%

Sorry

$78 Vol.

76%

Probability

$705 Vol.

33%

Not our job

$20 Vol.

24%

Too late

$59 Vol.

16%

Assumption

$123 Vol.

23%

About

Volume
$14,721
End Date
Jan 28, 2026
Created At
Dec 11, 2025, 6:41 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.