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OpenAI polymarkets

OpenAI

Which company has second best AI model end of December?

$2m Vol.

$84.3k today

$172k Liq.

99%

Google

$2m Vol.

$84.3k today

$172k Liq.

OpenAI

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

$460k Vol.

$68.3k today

$250k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

90%

Google

$460k Vol.

$68.3k today

$250k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

OpenAI

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

$362k Vol.

$52.7k today

$92.8k Liq.

99%

Google

$362k Vol.

$52.7k today

$92.8k Liq.

OpenAI

Which company has top AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

$2m Vol.

$165k Liq.

99%

Google

$2m Vol.

$165k Liq.

OpenAI

Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

$4m Vol.

$171k Liq.

181

99%

OpenAI

$4m Vol.

$171k Liq.

181

OpenAI

Which company has the #3 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

$353k Vol.

$57.0k Liq.

95%

xAI

$353k Vol.

$57.0k Liq.

OpenAI

Which company has the #2 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

$158k Vol.

$55.5k Liq.

96%

Google

$158k Vol.

$55.5k Liq.

OpenAI

Which company has the top AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

$31.9k Vol.

$20.1k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

80%

Google

$31.9k Vol.

$20.1k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

OpenAI

Technology

GPT ads by...?

$655k Vol.

$24.0k Liq.

111

Ends in 3 months

24%

March 31

$655k Vol.

$24.0k Liq.

111

Ends in 3 months

$Which company will have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$

OpenAI

Which company will have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

$2m Vol.

$79.9k Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

99%

Anthropic

$2m Vol.

$79.9k Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

OpenAI

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

$250k Vol.

$31.2k Liq.

Ends in 6 months

69%

Google

$250k Vol.

$31.2k Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OpenAI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

$337k Vol.

$15.3k Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

<1%

$337k Vol.

$15.3k Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

OpenAI

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

$103k Vol.

$97.4k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

80%

Google

$103k Vol.

$97.4k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

OpenAI

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

$519k Vol.

$28.1k Liq.

$519k Vol.

$28.1k Liq.

OpenAI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$10.6k Vol.

$6.2k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

$10.6k Vol.

$6.2k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

OpenAI

Sam Altman

GPT-6 released by…?

$176k Vol.

$26.2k Liq.

91%

December 31, 2026

$176k Vol.

$26.2k Liq.

OpenAI

Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

$34.4k Vol.

$26.7k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

55%

Google

$34.4k Vol.

$26.7k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

OpenAI

U.S. Politics

U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

$126k Vol.

$4.8k Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

$126k Vol.

$4.8k Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

OpenAI

Business

Sam Altman in jail by...?

$34.3k Vol.

$5.7k Liq.

June 30, 2026

$34.3k Vol.

$5.7k Liq.

OpenAI

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$637k Vol.

$168k Liq.

Ends in 6 months

66%

Google

$637k Vol.

$168k Liq.

Ends in 6 months

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