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Which company has second best AI model end of December?

$256,945 Vol.

Google 77%

xAI 11.3%

Anthropic 3.5%

OpenAI 1.6%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Volume

$256,945

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

shield

Beware of external links.

$256,945 Vol.

Market icon

Which company has second best AI model end of December?

Google 77%

xAI 11.3%

Anthropic 3.5%

OpenAI 1.6%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Market icon

Google

$37,453 Vol.

77%

Market icon

xAI

$19,129 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Anthropic

$21,731 Vol.

4%

Market icon

OpenAI

$17,845 Vol.

2%

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DeepSeek

$11,360 Vol.

1%

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Alibaba

$11,457 Vol.

1%

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Z.ai

$15,704 Vol.

1%

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Moonshot

$40,198 Vol.

<1%

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Mistral

$82,066 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$256,945

End Date

Dec 31, 2025