Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

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Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April?

>99% chance

$35,978 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determines that Israel committed genocide in Gaza in the current South African lawsuit against Israel. This market will resolve to "No" otherwise. If no ruling is made before April 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Volume
$35,978
End Date
Apr 1, 2024
Created At
Jan 11, 2024, 11:01 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determines that Israel committed genocide in Gaza in the current South African lawsuit against Israel. This market will resolve to "No" otherwise. If no ruling is made before April 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April?

>99% chance

$35,978 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determines that Israel committed genocide in Gaza in the current South African lawsuit against Israel. This market will resolve to "No" otherwise. If no ruling is made before April 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Volume
$35,978
End Date
Apr 1, 2024
Created At
Jan 11, 2024, 11:01 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determines that Israel committed genocide in Gaza in the current South African lawsuit against Israel. This market will resolve to "No" otherwise. If no ruling is made before April 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Beware of external links.