Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?

>99% chance

$29,952 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 8 full days (192 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
Volume
$29,952
End Date
Dec 2, 2023
Created At
Nov 26, 2023, 1:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 8 full days (192 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?

>99% chance

$29,952 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 8 full days (192 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
Volume
$29,952
End Date
Dec 2, 2023
Created At
Nov 26, 2023, 1:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 8 full days (192 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.