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Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

$7,024,094 Vol.

Jan 9, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Ali Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,024,094
End Date
Jan 9, 2026
Created At
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Ali Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

$7,024,094 Vol.

February 28

$106,948 Vol.

3%

March 31

$758,570 Vol.

8%

About

Volume
$7,024,094
End Date
Jan 9, 2026
Created At
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Beware of external links.