Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

Name: Which company has the third best AI model end of January?
Start: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

Jan 31

Feb 28

Mar 31

Anthropic <1%

Alibaba <1%

Z.ai <1%

DeepSeek <1%

$682,271 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026

Anthropic
$47,921 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$45,848 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$65,584 Vol.
<1%

DeepSeek
$25,141 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$42,015 Vol.
<1%

OpenAI
$180,775 Vol.
<1%

Baidu
$83,708 Vol.
<1%

xAI
$57,602 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$28,952 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$41,485 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

Jan 31

Feb 28

Mar 31

Anthropic <1%

Alibaba <1%

Z.ai <1%

DeepSeek <1%

$682,271 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026

Anthropic

$47,921 Vol.

<1%

Alibaba

$45,848 Vol.

<1%

Z.ai

$65,584 Vol.

<1%

DeepSeek

$25,141 Vol.

<1%

Mistral

$42,015 Vol.

<1%

OpenAI

$180,775 Vol.

<1%

Baidu

$83,708 Vol.

<1%

xAI

$57,602 Vol.

<1%

Moonshot

$28,952 Vol.

<1%

Meituan

$41,485 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$682,271

End Date

Jan 31, 2026

Created At

Dec 2, 2025, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

40%

Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

68%

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

46%

Beware of external links.