The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create unbiased forecasts and "fact checks" for the most important events shaping public discourse. The accuracy of our markets is particularly invaluable in today's age of biased pundits, social media disinformation, and AI. We offer these breaking news markets as a public service to distill fact from fiction — we charge no fees & make no money on this market.

Market icon

What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with?

NEW

$358,588 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any official authority publicly confirms that the liquid sprayed on Ilhan Omar at the January 27, 2026 Minneapolis town hall contained a poison or toxin, or otherwise posed a meaningful toxicological health risk. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the substance is confirmed to be a mixture, this market will resolve to “Yes” if any component is officially identified as a poison or toxin or is stated by authorities to pose a toxicological health risk.

Descriptions of the substance as “unknown,” “unidentified,” “foul-smelling,” “irritating,” or precautionary testing or investigation alone will not qualify without an official determination of toxicological risk.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official statements.
Volume
$358,588
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Jan 28, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any official authority publicly confirms that the liquid sprayed on Ilhan Omar at the January 27, 2026 Minneapolis town hall contained a poison or toxin, or otherwise posed a meaningful toxicological health risk. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” If the substance is confirmed to be a mixture, this market will resolve to “Yes” if any component is officially identified as a poison or toxin or is stated by authorities to pose a toxicological health risk. Descriptions of the substance as “unknown,” “unidentified,” “foul-smelling,” “irritating,” or precautionary testing or investigation alone will not qualify without an official determination of toxicological risk. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official statements.

Beware of external links.

The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create unbiased forecasts and "fact checks" for the most important events shaping public discourse. The accuracy of our markets is particularly invaluable in today's age of biased pundits, social media disinformation, and AI. We offer these breaking news markets as a public service to distill fact from fiction — we charge no fees & make no money on this market.

Market icon

What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with?

$358,588 Vol.

Bacon grease

$31,269 Vol.

1%

Urine

$57,639 Vol.

1%

Poison/Toxin

$33,103 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$358,588
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Jan 28, 2026, 2:28 AM ET

Beware of external links.