KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

Name: KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
Start: 2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z

Thomas Massie 74%

Ed Gallrein 27.5%

Robert Wells Jr. <1%

Nicole Lee Ethington <1%

NEW

May 19, 2026

Thomas Massie
$2,590 Vol.
74%

Ed Gallrein
$1,037 Vol.
28%

Robert Wells Jr.
$390 Vol.
1%

Nicole Lee Ethington
$401 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Beware of external links.

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

Thomas Massie 74%

Ed Gallrein 27.5%

Robert Wells Jr. <1%

Nicole Lee Ethington <1%

NEW

May 19, 2026

Thomas Massie

$2,590 Vol.

74%

Ed Gallrein

$1,037 Vol.

28%

Robert Wells Jr.

$390 Vol.

Nicole Lee Ethington

$401 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$4,418

End Date

May 19, 2026

Created At

Dec 1, 2025, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?

41%

Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

84%

Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?

59%

Beware of external links.

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

Thomas Massie
$2,590 Vol.
74%

Ed Gallrein
$1,037 Vol.
28%

Robert Wells Jr.
$390 Vol.
1%

Nicole Lee Ethington
$401 Vol.
<1%

Market Context