Market icon

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% on Friday?

>99% chance

$54,716 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 55.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27.
Volume
$54,716
End Date
Sep 27, 2024
Created At
Sep 24, 2024, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 55.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% on Friday?

>99% chance

$54,716 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 55.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27.
Volume
$54,716
End Date
Sep 27, 2024
Created At
Sep 24, 2024, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 55.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.