No release by February 28 83%
February 26 2.6%
February 25 2.2%
February 17 1.8%
$179,744 Vol.
$179,744 Vol.
February 6
$22,600 Vol.
1%
February 6
$22,600 Vol.
1%
February 7
$4,669 Vol.
<1%
February 7
$4,669 Vol.
<1%
February 8
$5,190 Vol.
<1%
February 8
$5,190 Vol.
<1%
February 9
$10,415 Vol.
1%
February 9
$10,415 Vol.
1%
February 10
$8,318 Vol.
1%
February 10
$8,318 Vol.
1%
February 11
$6,013 Vol.
1%
February 11
$6,013 Vol.
1%
February 12
$6,260 Vol.
1%
February 12
$6,260 Vol.
1%
February 13
$4,899 Vol.
1%
February 13
$4,899 Vol.
1%
February 14
$3,764 Vol.
1%
February 14
$3,764 Vol.
1%
February 15
$1,706 Vol.
1%
February 15
$1,706 Vol.
1%
February 16
$1,622 Vol.
1%
February 16
$1,622 Vol.
1%
February 17
$2,537 Vol.
2%
February 17
$2,537 Vol.
2%
February 18
$1,794 Vol.
1%
February 18
$1,794 Vol.
1%
February 19
$1,785 Vol.
1%
February 19
$1,785 Vol.
1%
February 20
$1,781 Vol.
1%
February 20
$1,781 Vol.
1%
February 21
$1,661 Vol.
<1%
February 21
$1,661 Vol.
<1%
February 22
$1,432 Vol.
<1%
February 22
$1,432 Vol.
<1%
February 23
$1,541 Vol.
1%
February 23
$1,541 Vol.
1%
February 24
$1,789 Vol.
2%
February 24
$1,789 Vol.
2%
February 25
$1,816 Vol.
2%
February 25
$1,816 Vol.
2%
February 26
$2,062 Vol.
3%
February 26
$2,062 Vol.
3%
February 27
$1,666 Vol.
1%
February 27
$1,666 Vol.
1%
February 28
$2,062 Vol.
1%
February 28
$2,062 Vol.
1%
No release by February 28
$23,552 Vol.
83%
No release by February 28
$23,552 Vol.
83%
Rules
This market will resolve to "No release by February 28" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is not made available to the general public by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Anthropic's Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g., Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Feb 4, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...No release by February 28 83%
February 26 2.6%
February 25 2.2%
February 17 1.8%
$179,744 Vol.
$179,744 Vol.
February 6
1%
February 7
<1%
February 8
<1%
February 9
1%
February 10
1%
February 11
1%
February 12
1%
February 13
1%
February 14
1%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
2%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
<1%
February 22
<1%
February 23
1%
February 24
2%
February 25
2%
February 26
3%
February 27
1%
February 28
1%
No release by February 28
83%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.