Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria before 2027?

Dec 31

20% chance
NEW

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ahmed al-Sharaa, the President of Syria, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Al-Sharaa will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of Syria within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,251
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ahmed al-Sharaa, the President of Syria, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Al-Sharaa will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of Syria within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria before 2027?

Dec 31

20% chance
NEW

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ahmed al-Sharaa, the President of Syria, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Al-Sharaa will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of Syria within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,251
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ahmed al-Sharaa, the President of Syria, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Al-Sharaa will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of Syria within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Beware of external links.